During the “Orange Revolution” in Ukraine, the second largest country in Europe came close to a violent break-up similar to that in neighboring Moldova, which witnessed a violent secession of the Transdniestria region. Numerous elections, including the hotly contested 2004 presidential elections in Ukraine, and surveys of public opinion showed significant regional divisions in these post-Soviet countries. Western parts of Ukraine and Moldova, as well as the Muslim Crimean Tatars, were vocal supporters of independence, nationalist, and pro-Western parties and politicians. In contrast, Eastern regions, as well as the Orthodox Turkic-speaking Gagauz, consistently expressed pro-Russian and pro-Communist political orientations. Which factors – historical legacies, religion, economy, ethnicity, or political leadership – could explain these divisions? Why was Ukraine able to avoid a violent break-up, in contrast to Moldova?
This is the first book to offer a systematic and comparative analysis of the regional political divisions in post-Soviet Ukraine and Moldova. The study examines voting behavior and political attitudes in two groups of regions: those which were under Russian, Ottoman, and Soviet rule; and those which were under Austro-Hungarian, Polish, Romanian, and Czechoslovak rule until World War I or World War II. This book attributes the regional political divisions to the differences in historical experience. This study helps us to better understand regional cleavages and conflicts, not only in Ukraine and Moldova, but also in other cleft countries.
Ivan Katchanovski is a Post-Doctoral Fellow in the Department of Political Science at the University of Toronto. He received his Ph.D. from the School of Public Policy at George Mason University, Arlington/Fairfax, VA, and is co-author of Paradox of American Unionism: Why Americans Like Unions More Than Canadians Do, but Join Much Less (Cornell University Press, 2004). His articles have appeared in Europe-Asia Studies, International Journal of Public Administration, Journal of Labor Research, Journal of Public Policy, and Obshchestvennye nauki i sovremennost’.
The foreword author:
Dr. Francis Fukuyama is Professor of International Political Economy at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC.