Under review or in revision
Mandel, D.R. Affect and risk perception in the context of terrorism: Towards an understanding of its psychosocial aspects. [chapter for NATO HFM140/RTO TG Final Report]
Mandel, D. R. The role of instigators in radicalization to violent extremism. [chapter for NATO HFM140/RTO TG Final Report]
Mandel, D. R. & Vartanian, O. Bush v. Bin Laden: Moderation of the effect of emotion on threat perception by the threat agent.
Vartanian, O., & Mandel, D. R. Imputing intent in international relations: It matters whether states are friends or foes.
Vartanian, O., & Mandel, D. R. Neural bases of judgment and decision making.
Vartanian, O., Mandel, D. R., & Duncan, M. Money or life: Context effects on risky choice.
Bruine de Bruin, W., Fischhoff, B., Downs, J. S., Florig, H. K., Stone, E. R., Mandel, D. R., & Lerner, J. S. When the communication itself evokes fear: Unintended effects on cognitive responses.
Kamleitner, B., Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. Risky discounts: Do people prefer them per item or per purchase?
Mandel, D. R. Mental simulation and the nexus of causal and counterfactual explanation.
Mandel, D. R. Predicting blame assignment in a case of harm caused by negligence.
Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. Gains loom larger than losses in forecasted risk taking.
Dhami, M. K., Mandel, D. R., & Garcia-Retamero, R. Mixing alcohol and driving: Youth's perceived benefits and drawbacks of taking the risk.
Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. Expressions of rationality in defendants' choice of trial court.
Mandel, D. R., Vartanian, O., Adams, B. D., & Thomson, M. H. Performance of UN military observer teams: Does victim proximity escalate commitment to saving lives?
Books and Edited Special Issues
Vartanian, O., & Mandel, D. R. (Eds.) (in preparation). Neuroscience of decision making [in the "Contemporary Approaches in Cognitive Neuroscience" series]. New York: Psychology Press.
Mandel, D. R., & Dhami, M. K. (Eds.) (2005). Psychological perspectives on threats to democracy. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 5(1).
Mandel, D. R., Hilton, D. J., &
Catellani, P. (Eds.) (2005). The psychology of counterfactual thinking.
New York: Routledge. Kamleitner, B., Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. (in press). Gambling for a discount: Preferring a discount per item to discount per purchase? In A. L. McGill & S. Shavitt (Eds.), Advances in Consumer Research: Volume 36, Duluth, MN: Association for Consumer Research. Mandel, D. R. (2008, June). Judgment under uncertainty. Intelligence Analyst Training Newsletter, 7-9. [restricted access] [Featured in Harvard Negotiation Newsletter, 10(3), 12, March 2007 (see Research Summary "Dealing with Friends").] [Featured September 24, 2007, in The Washington Post.] [Reprinted in: Spellman, B. A., & Willingham, D. T. (Eds). (2005). Current Directions in Cognitive Science: Readings from the American Psychological Society. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Education / Prentice Hall.] *Lehman, D. R., Davis, C. G., DeLongis,
A., Wortman, C. B., Bluck, S., Mandel, D. R., & Ellard, J. H. (1993).
Positive and negative life changes following bereavement and their relations
to adjustment. Journal of Social and Clinical Psychology, 12,
90-112.
See also The EAESP Small Group Meeting on Counterfactual Thinking, Aix-en-Provence, France, May 16-18, 2001
Papers (* = peer-reviewed)
In press
Mandel, D. R. (in press). Instigators and perpetrators of collective violence. In L Fenstermacher et al. (Eds), Protecting the homeland from international and domestic terrorism threats: Current multidisciplinary perspectives on root causes, the role of ideology, and programs for counter-radicalization and disengagement [Joint Staff J3, Strategic Command Global Innovation and Strategy Center and the Office of the Secretary of Defense Department of Development Research and Engineering White Paper]. Washington: D.C.: Department of Defense. *Mandel, D. R., & Vartanian, O. Weighting of contingency information in causal judgment: Evidence of hypothesis dependence and use of a positive-test strategy. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology.Mandel, D. R. (in press). Radicalization: What does it mean? In T. Pick & A. Speckhard (Eds.), Indigenous terrorism: Understanding and addressing the root causes of radicalisation among groups with an immigrant heritage in Europe. Amsterdam: IOS Press.2008
*Mandel, D. R. (2008). Violations of coherence in subjective probability: A representational and assessment processes account. Cognition, 106(1), 130-156. *Mandel, D. R., & Vartanian, O. (2008). Taboo or tragic: Effect of tradeoff type on moral choice, conflict, and confidence, Mind & Society, 7(2), 215-226.Pavlovic, N. J., Casagrande Hoshino, L., Mandel, D. R., & Dorn, A. W. (2008). Indicators and indices of conflict and security: A review and classification of open-source data. DRDC Toronto technical report TR-2008-167 [unclassified] Pavlovic, N. J., Blackler, K., & Mandel, D. R. (2008). Conflict and security indices. DRDC Toronto technical memorandum TM-2008-168 [unclassified]. 2007
*Dhami, M. K., Mandel, D. R., & Sothmann, K. (2007). An evaluation of post-adoption services. Children and Youth Services Review, 29(2), 162-179. *Mandel, D. R. (2007). Differential focus in causal and counterfactual thinking: Different possibilities or different functions? Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30(5), 460-461.*Mandel, D. R. (2007). Nested-sets theory, full stop: Explaining performance on Bayesian inference tasks without dual-systems assumptions. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30(3), 275-276.Mandel, D. R. (2007). Toward a concept of risk for effective military decision making. DRDC Toronto technical report 2007-124 [unclassified].*Williams, J. J., & Mandel, D. R. (2007). Do evaluation frames improve the quality of conditional probability judgment? In D. S. McNamara & J. G. Trafton (Eds.), Proceedings of the 29th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (pp. 1653-1658), Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum. 2006
*Dhami, M.K., Mandel, D. R., Loewenstein, G., & Ayton, P. (2006). Prisoners' positive illusions of their post-release success. Law and Human Behavior, 30, 631-647.*Mandel, D. R. (2006). Economic transactions among friends: Asymmetric generosity but not agreement in buyers' and sellers' offers. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 50(4), 584-606. *Mandel, D. R., & Vartanian, O. (2006). Is the weighting of contingency data contingent on the hypothesis assessed? In R. Sun & N. Miyake (Eds.), Proceedings of the 28th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (p. 2652). Mahwah, NJ: Erlbaum.*White, K., Lehman, D.R., Hemphill,
K. J., Mandel, D. R., & Lehman, A. M. (2006). Causal attributions, perceived control, and
psychological adjustment: A study of Chronic Fatigue Syndrome. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 36(1), 75-99.2005
Dhami, M. K., Mandel, D. R., &
Souza, K. (2005). Escape from reality: Prisoner's counterfactual thinking
about crime, justice and punishment. In D. R. Mandel, D. J Hilton, & P.
Catellani (Eds.), The psychology of counterfactual thinking (pp. 165-182). New York:
Routledge. *Mandel, D. R. (2005). Are risk assessments of a terrorist attack coherent? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 11(4), 277-288.Mandel, D. R. (2005). Counterfactual
and causal explanation: From early theoretical views to new frontiers. In
D. R. Mandel, D. J Hilton, & P. Catellani (Eds.), The psychology of
counterfactual thinking (pp. 11-23). New York: Routledge. *Mandel, D. R. (2005). Threats to democracy: A judgment and decision making perspective. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 5(1), 209-222. Mandel, D. R., & Dhami, M. K.(2005). Introduction to the special issue, psychological perspectives on threats to democracy. Analyses of Social Issues and Public Policy, 5(1), 205-207. *Mandel, D. R., & Dhami, M. K. (2005). "What I did" versus "What I might have done": Effect of factual and counterfactual thinking on blame, guilt, and shame in
prisoners. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 41, 637-645.Mandel, D. R., Hilton, D. J., & Catellani, P. (2005). Introduction. In
D. R. Mandel, D. J Hilton, & P. Catellani (Eds.), The psychology of
counterfactual thinking (pp. 1-7). New York: Routledge. 2004
Mandel, D.R. (2004). Social psychological perspectives on the instigation of collective violence. In D. Munos-Rojas, J.-M. Falomir, & X. Chryssochoou (Eds.) Proceedings of the Conference on War and Peace: Social Psychological Approaches to Armed Conflict and Humanitarian Issues] (pp. 183-190). Geneva, Switzerland: International Committee of the Red Cross and University of Geneva.Mandel, D. R. (2004). Unanimity
may be improbable; dictatorship is worse: Comment on The Dangers
of Unanimity by R. B. Zajonc. Dialogue, 19(2), 28-29.2003
Dhami, M. K., & Mandel, D. R. (2003). Adoption Support Program Queen Alexandra Centre for Childrenð_ðs Health: Evaluation of Client Services 2003 Final Report (Technical report). *Mandel, D. R. (2003). Counterfactuals,
emotion, and context. Cognition & Emotion, 17, 139-159.
*Mandel, D. R. (2003). Effect of
counterfactual and factual thinking on causal judgments. Thinking &
Reasoning, 9, 245-265. *Mandel, D. R. (2003). Judgment
dissociation theory: An analysis of differences in causal, counterfactual,
and covariational reasoning. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General,
137, 419-434. *Mandel, D. R. (2003). Simulating
history: The problem of contingency. Analyses of Social Issues and Public
Policy, 3, 177-180. Mandel, D.R. (2003). The obedience
alibi. In M.C. Cardwell, E.Clark and C.Meldrum (Eds.). Psychology for AS-level
(3rd ed., p. 174). London: Collins. *Spellman, B. A., & Mandel,
D. R. (2003). Causal reasoning, Psychology of. In Nadel, L. (Ed.) Encyclopedia
of Cognitive Science (Vol. 1, pp. 461-466). London: Nature Publishing
Group. 2002
*Lehman, A. M., Lehman, D. R., Hemphill,
K. J., Mandel, D. R., & Cooper, L. M. (2002). Illness experience, depression,
and anxiety in chronic fatigue syndrome. Journal of Psychosomatic Research,
52, 461-465. *Mandel, D. R. (2002). Beyond mere
ownership: Transaction demand as a moderator of the endowment effect. Organizational
Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 88, 737-747. *Mandel, D. R. (2002). Evil and
the instigation of collective violence. Analyses of Social Issues and Public
Policy, 2, 101-108. Mandel, D. R. (2002). Instigators
of genocide: Examining Hitler from a social psychological perspective. In
L. S. Newman and R. Erber (Eds.), Understanding genocide: The social psychology
of the Holocaust (pp. 259-284). New York: Oxford University Press. *Villejoubert, G., & Mandel,
D. R. (2002). The inverse fallacy: An account of deviations from Bayes's theorem
and the additivity principle. Memory & Cognition, 30, 171-178. [Erratum] 2001
*Mandel, D. R. (2001). Gain-loss
framing and choice: Separating outcome formulations from descriptor formulations.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 85, 56-76. 2000
*Mandel, D. R. (2000). On the meaning
and function of normative analysis: Conceptual blur in the rationality debate?
Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 23, 686-687. 1999
*Spellman, B. A., & Mandel,
D. R. (1999). When possibility informs reality: Counterfactual thinking as
a cue to causality. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 8,
120-123.
1998
*Mandel, D. R. (1998). The obedience
alibi: Milgram's account of the Holocaust reconsidered. Analyse & Kritik:
Zeitschrift fð1/4r Sozialwissenschaften, 20, 74-94.
*Mandel, D. R., & Lehman, D.
R. (1998). Integration of contingency information in judgments of cause, covariation,
and probability. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 127,
269-285.
1997
---
1996
*Mandel, D. R., & Lehman, D.
R. (1996). Counterfactual thinking and ascriptions of cause and preventability.
Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 71, 450-463.
1995
*Mandel, D. R. (1995). Chaos theory,
sensitive dependence, and the logistic equation. American Psychologist,
50, 106-107.
*Mandel, D. R., Lehman, D. R., &
Yuille, J. C. (1995). Reasoning about the removal of a child from home: A
comparison of police officers and social workers. Journal of Applied Social
Psychology, 25, 906-921.
1994
*Mandel, D. R., Lehman, D. R., &
Yuille, J. C. (1994). Should this child be removed from home? Hypothesis generation
and information seeking as predictors of case decisions. Child Abuse &
Neglect, 18, 1051-1062.
*Mill, D., Gray, T., & Mandel,
D. R. (1994). The influence of research methods and statistics courses on
everyday reasoning and belief in unsubstantiated phenomena. Canadian Journal
of Behavioural Science, 26, 246-258. 1993
*Mandel, D. R., Axelrod, L. J.,
& Lehman, D. R. (1993). Integrative complexity in reasoning about the
Persian Gulf War and the accountability-to-skeptical-audience hypothesis.
Journal of Social Issues, 49, 201-215.