Nathan Halmrast Ph.D. Candidate University of Toronto |
Trading
Constraints: The Market Impact of Short Sale Circuit Breakers (Job Market Paper) On February 26,
2010, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission introduced a new circuit
breaker rule which, when triggered, imposes temporary constraints on short
sale trades. I provide empirical documentation of the impact to trading after
this circuit breaker has been triggered. My testing frameworks include
dynamic regression discontinuity (RD) and standard differences-in-differences
(DD). The main focus of the study is on January - May of 2012, but I use the
2010 pre-compliance period as a placebo test to measure the impact of the
amendment, and I also explore cross-border impacts experienced by interlisted securities. Using a DD analysis, I study
standard market quality measures including depths and spreads. I find circuit
breakers have a marked impact on most market measures for firms post circuit
breaker. My RD analysis finds clear evidence of a discontinuity at the circuit
breaker for some measures, but this discontinuity is not unique to the
regulatory period. Pre-period trading behavior in
the market often reacts similarly to an event which would trigger the circuit
breaker under the amendment even though no circuit breaker has been
triggered. One exception is the reaction of the market in terms of shares
available at the ask. In the pre-regulatory period,
a dramatic price decline is met with a large reduction in depth. After the
implementation of the regulation I no longer find a reduction in depth post
circuit breaker, and shares available at the ask increase instead of
disappearing. Interlisted firms do not experience
this change in depth or in the composition of their depth. This change in the
composition of depth suggests that real liquidity diminishes after a circuit
breaker has been triggered. |
Max Gluskin House University of Toronto 150 St. George St., Toronto Ontario M5S 3G7 Canada Campus: 416-978-4622 Fax: 416-978-6713 |
Does Maker-Taker Pricing Incentivize Liquidity
Provision: Evidence from the TSX (with Katya Malinova and Andreas Park) Many securities exchanges worldwide aim to incentivize liquidity
provision by paying a maker rebate to limit order providers, upon execution
of their orders, and by charging marketable order submitters a taker fee. The
asymmetry of fees for different sides of a transaction distorts traders’
order submission strategies, and the role of the maker-taker pricing is
controversial. We analyze the impact of maker-taker
pricing on market quality, by studying the 2006 introduction of maker rebates
on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX).
Focusing on the less liquid stocks that trade only on the TSX, we find
that quoted and effective spreads tighten, but depth declines. Benefits to
liquidity providers decline, even after accounting for rebates, due to
increased competition. Costs for liquidity demanders do not increase, even
after accounting for the increased taker fees. Volumes increased, but may
partly be driven by independent U.S. events. |
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Central Bank Mandates (with Anita Anand and Albert Yoon) This paper examines the legal mandates of central banks prior to and
following the financial crisis of 2007- 08 and the effect that these mandates
have on developed economies. We examine the mandates of central banks of 42
OECD and G20 members from 2002 to 2011. Across the sample, we find that most
central banks have consistent, but not identical mandates. Most of these
mandates create discretionary rather than affirmative (i.e. mandatory)
responsibilities. In addition, we find that the total number of central bank
mandates has increased dramatically, almost doubling over the time period
studied, with the largest increase occurring in 2007. We question whether
countries are forward thinking, increasing central bank mandates in advance
of expected financial crises, or reactive, changing their legal mandates to
reflect recent economic developments. |