Hypergeometric Random Variables

Example 1 | Example 2 |Useful Web Resources| Solutions

 

The hypergeometric random variable is the number of successes that arise from sampling without replacement.

Definition 3.3-1:

A set contains N items of which r have charactersitic C and N-r do not have characteristic C. A hypergeometric random variable denotes the number of items with characteristic C in a sample of n items selected at random without replacement from this set. The probability mass function of a hypergeometric random variable is

 

where x = max(0, n- (N-r)), ..., min(n,r)

 

Example 1:

Consider choosing a 5 member committee consisting of grade 8 and grade 9 students.There are 7 grade 8's, and 6 grade 9's to choose from. Let the random variable X denote the number of grade 8's on the committe. What is the probability of selecting exactly 2 grade 8 students to be on the committe ( P(X=2) )?

Solution:

The number of ways to choose 2 grade 8 students is 7C2=21, since there are 7 grade 8 students to choose from. The 3 other members on the committe must be grade 9's, and there are 6 that we can choose from. So there are 6C3=20 ways to choose the remaining memebers. If there were no restrictions, the number of ways to select a committe of 5 out of 7+6=13 students is 13C5=1287.

So P(X=2)=(7C2) (6C3) / (13C5)=0.3263

A: What is the probability of selecting a 5 member committe if there has to be only 1 grade 8 on the committe?

(Round to 2 decimal places)

 

 

What is the probability that there is at least 4 grade 8's on the committe?

Solution:

P(X>=4)= P(4) +P(5)

= (7C4)(6C1)/(13C5) + (7C5)/(13C5)

=(210+21) / 1287=0.1795

B: What is the probability that there is at most 2 grade 8's on the committe?

(Round to 2 decimal places)

 

Solution

Theorem 3.3-1:

The mean and variance of the hypergeometric random variable are

and

Example 2:

Refer to Example 1 once again.

What is n ?

What is r ?

 

What is N ?

 

What is u ?

(Round to 2 decimal places)

 

What is s^2 ?

(Round to 2 decimal places)

  

What is s?

(Round to 2 decimal places)

  

Solution

 

Explore the Hypergeometric Distribution by using the following applet!

 


Useful Web Resources

Statistics Tutorial: Hypergeometric Distribution

Hypergeometric Random Variable- Wikipedia

The Hypergeometric Distribution


 

Solutions

 

Solution to Example 1

A: The number of ways to choose 1 grade 8 students is 7C1=7 since there are 7 grade 8 students to choose from. The 4 other members on the committe must be grade 9's, and there are 6 that we can choose from. So there are 6C4=15 ways to choose the remaining memebers. If there were no restrictions, the number of ways to select a committe of 5 out of 7+6=13 students is 13C5=1287. So P(X=1)=(7C1) (6C4)/(13C5)=0.08

B: P(X£2) =P(0)+P(1)+P(2)= (6C5)/(13C5) + (7C1)(6C4)/(13C5) + (7C2)(6C3)/(13C5)= (6+105+420) /1287=0.41

Solution to Example 2

A: n is the number of members on the committe. So n= 5

B: r is the total number of grade 8 students. So r =7

C: N is the total number of grade 8 and grade 9 students. So N=12

D: u =5(7/13)=35/13=2.69

E: s^2= 5(7/13) [1-(7/13)] [(13-5)/(13-1)]=0.8284= 0.83

F: s= sqrt(0.83)=0.91

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