Assistant Professor of Political Science URL: http://individual.utoronto.ca/renan
Department of Political Science Email: firstname.lastname@example.org
Dissertation: “Dynamics of Multicandidate Elections: Menu-dependent Preferences.”
Committee: John H. Aldrich (Chair), Jeffrey Grynaviski, Michael C. Munger, John W. Payne.
Exam Fields: American and Comparative Politics. April 1999.
Teaching Politics Certificate, 2001.
I.C.P.S.R. Summer School, Summer 1997.
Institute of Public Policy,
“Foreign Lobbying” in Peter Francia, Burdett A. Loomis and Dara Z. Strolovitch, Guide to Interest Groups and Lobbying in the United States. CQ Press, 2010 (with Arnd Jurgensen). Under contract.
A review of the evolving lobbying tactics engaged in by foreign interests and the institutional and legal context that creates incentives for lobbying and public diplomacy efforts.
Diplomacy, and Anti-Americanism in
To test the efficacy of American public diplomacy abroad, we showed
respondents a statement about the
“Fringe Candidates Can Change Perceptions of Centrist Candidates,” Political Behavior. Accepted pending minor revisions.
The presence of an extreme third party candidate causes perceptions of the nearest candidate to appear more centrist, potentially helping the centrist candidate win the median voter.
“Comparing Strategic Voting under FPTP and PR,” Comparative Political Studies 43.3 (March 2010), (with Paul Abramson, John Aldrich, André Blais, Matthew Diamond, Abraham Diskin, Indridi Indridason, and Daniel Lee)
Contrary to conventional wisdom, patterns of strategic voting under FPTP and PR are strikingly similar. A comparative study of elections in five countries indicates that strategic voting may actually be more common under PR.
“Coalition Considerations and the
Vote,” in Asher Arian and Michal Shamir, eds. The Elections in
Strategic voting in
“Canadian Voting Behavior in
Comparative Perspective,” in Richard Simeon, Rob Vipond, Jennifer Wallner and Linda
White, eds. The Comparative Turn: The Canadian Contribution.
Reviews Canadian contributions to comparative theories of voting to identify fruitful future avenues of investigation.
“Sources of Bias in Voter Expectations under Proportional Representation,” Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 17.3 (2007): 215-234.
Partisans’ exaggerated expectations are the product of biased recollections of recent polls and wishful thinking. These biased expectations were not mitigated by increased levels of political knowledge.
“Feast or Famine at the Federal
Luau? Understanding Net Federal Spending under Bush,” The
Forum 4.2 (2006): Article 6 (with Peter Francia).
Available at: http://www.bepress.com/forum/vol4/iss2/art6
Republican “red” states received more federal benefits per tax dollar compared to “blue” or battleground states under President G. W. Bush. We find that this difference persists even after controlling for income disparities and demographic differences.
Voters Vote for Government Coalitions? Testing
Contrary to Downs’ conclusion that ‘most voters do not vote as though elections were government-selection mechanisms’ in countries that regularly produce coalition governments, we find that coalition considerations motivated some Israeli voters in 2003 to vote for a party other than their favorite.
“Coalition Considerations and the
Vote,” in Asher Arian and Michal Shamir, The Elections in
The desire to influence post-election coalition negotiations helps explain why many Israeli voters cast strategic votes in 2003. This explains why levels of strategic voting are surprisingly high in a nearly pure-PR electoral system with a low threshold for representation.
“Strategic Abandonment or Sincerely Second Best? The 1999 Israeli Prime Ministerial Election,” Journal of Politics 66.3 (2004): 706–728 (with Paul R. Abramson, John H. Aldrich, Matthew Diamond, Thomas J. Scotto and Abraham Diskin).
Models of strategic voting behavior based on the multi-candidate calculus of voting reveal that strategic voting in a majority-with-runoff election closely resembled the level and nature of strategic voting found in the plurality systems for which the models were originally developed.
Working Papers. Available at: http://works.bepress.com/renan/
“A Palin Effect?” (with Ian Worte)
An examination of American National Election Study Panel data shows that the nomination of Palin and the GOP convention did cause many Republicans to enthusiastically embrace the McCain ticket, but as the campaign progressed, Palin had a negative effect on many voters indifferent between McCain and Obama.
“Reading the 2008 Presidential
Analyzing coverage of the 2008 U.S. Presidential campaign in two Iranian papers reveals much about Iranian attitudes towards the US and engagement with the US. A government newspaper tended to be critical of both candidates, while an independent newspaper focused more on Obama.
“Choice Difficulty and the Compromise Effect in Candidate Choice.”
Contrary to conventional wisdom but consistent with consumer marketing theories, moderate candidates can benefit when third-party candidates enters on their flank because voters who find the choice to be difficult become more likely to choose a candidate that appears to be a compromise between two extremes.
“Why are there so many parties? Understanding the Canadian Party System,” (with Jim Farney).
comparative literature fails to explain why
“Voters' Expectations Over Election Outcomes under Proportional Representation,” (with Valery Kisilevsky).
Before the 2006 Israeli election, many citizens offered predictions of the largest parties inconsistent with the recent published polls. Showing respondents the latest poll did not affect their expectations, but such information did influence predictions for smaller, less well-known parties.
Public Diplomacy, and Anti-Americanism in
We test the
“An Analysis of Source and Frame Interactions on Attitudes towards Stem Cell Research,” Political Communication (with Laura B. Stephenson).
Using data from an original internet survey of Canadian adults, we compare how the identity and expertise of different messengers influence the effect of a frame on preferences towards stem cell research. When a message is delivered by a source with specific expertise in the logic underlying the frame, we find that the message has a greater influence, especially on the salience of certain beliefs for opinion formation; however, the beliefs activated were often contrary to the message, indicating that these beliefs strengthened in resistance to the message.
“Message or Messenger? The Limits of Moral Leadership,” (with Laura B. Stephenson).
In an experiment implemented on campuses in two countries, we test the impact of a religious leader and a political leader by investigating how opinions change when these leaders frame their comments using material or ethical terms. We find that changing the identity of the messenger had an independent priming effect on which beliefs heavily factor into our subjects’ deliberations about stem-cell research and government spending cuts.
“Subadditivity and the Unpacking Effect in Political Opinions”
When a broad description of a policy is “unpacked” into more specific component policies, support for the component policies exceeds support for the original, broad policy. Extends work by Tversky and colleagues emphasizing the increased availability of information about component events on judgments of probabilities to public opinion questions.
“Framing, Public Diplomacy, and Anti-Americanism
“Revealing Strategic Scrutiny: Coalition
Considerations and the Vote.” Annual Meeting of the
Ethnic and Religious Interest Group Organizing in Domestic and Foreign Politics.”
Annual Meeting of the
“Why are there so many
parties? Understanding the Canadian Party System.” Annual Meeting of the
“Message or Messenger:
Limits of Moral Leadership.” Annual Meeting of the
“When Israelis die, does it make the front page?” Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association. January 8-10, 2005.
“Dynamics of Multi-Candidate Campaigns: Menu-Dependent Preferences.” Paper prepared for delivery at the 2002 Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association.
“A Whodunit from Old Virginia: Who killed the Readjuster Party?” Paper prepared for delivery at the 2002 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association.
“Prime Minister and Parliament: Strategic Straight Ticket Voting.” Paper prepared for delivery at the 2001 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association (with Paul Abramson, Paul, John H. Aldrich, Matthew Diamond, Abraham Diskin and Thomas J. Scotto).
“Teaching Website Design
in Business Classes.” Paper prepared for delivery at the 2001 Hawaii Conference
or Sincerely Second Best? Strategic Voting in the 1999 Israeli Election.” Paper
prepared for delivery at the 2001 Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political
“Job Insecurity and Globalization: Evidence
“Racing the Titanic:
Globalization, Insecurity and American Democracy.” Paper prepared for delivery
at the 1999 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,
on the Horses: Expectations of the National Economy and Presidential Election
Predictions.” Paper prepared for delivery at the 1999 Annual Meeting of the
American Political Science Association,
matter to baseball: How two journalists from
your tax dollars going to Republicans?” Black Policy.org.
legacy of facts on the ground.”
“[Israeli] Domestic political institutions
and their social context” Shem Shel Shemayim. April 2005.
“Can 59 million people be wrong?” Department
of Political Science [
Was President Reagan's Greatest Legacy?” The Window.net (New College)
Party of Virginia,” “Consumer Party,” “Eugene McCarthy,” and related
biographies. In Immanuel Ness and James Ciment. Encyclopedia of Third
Dean’s Award for Excellence in
Alumni Scholar at the
National Merit Scholarship Finalist, 1992.
(Awarded to Laura B. Stephenson, Renan Levine as co-investigator).
National Science Foundation Dissertation Improvement Grant, 2001.
National Science Foundation Honorable Mention, 1997.
List of Courses Taught
Introduction to Research Methods 2003-2004, 2005-2006, Summer 2006, 2006-2007, 2008-2009, Summer 2009 (co-instructor).
Political Strategy and Policy Entrepreneurship. Fall 2003, Spring 2007, Spring 2008.
Craft of Political Research. 2007-2008 (co-instructor), 2008-2009.
Political Analysis for Public Policy, Fall 2000, Fall 2001 and 2002-2003.
Urban Politics: Getting Along, Fall 2001.
“American Parties: The Future of German Politics?” Summer 1999.
M.A. Mark Lehman, “Affect Change: The increased influence of attitudinal factors on Canadians’ support for legalizing same-sex marriage,” 2006 (Secondary supervisor).
Administrative Positions and Departmental Service
Co-Director, Academic Job Placement, Department of Political Science, University of Toronto, 2005-2008.
Graduate Affairs Committee, Department of Political Science, University of Toronto, 2005-2008.
Congress to Campus – two-day visit of two former members of Congress to
Co-organizer, Chris Matthews talk at Rotman School of Business, co-sponsored by Department of Political Science. Fall 2005.
“Discovery Day.” Co-organizer of Department of Political Science booth. Fall 2004.
Department search committee member, 2004-2005; 2005-2006.
Other teaching and lectures
Business Council Deputies Conference. Government of
Judea Reform Congregation,
Munk Centre for International
Beth Tzedek Congregation,
Wolfond Centre. University of
Etobicoke Senior Centre, World Events Forum. April 21, 2005.
Judea Reform Congregation,
Academia and Pedagogy
American Political Science Association, Canadian
Political Science Association,
Other Professional Activities
Referee: American Journal of Political Science, American Political Science Review, Journal of Politics, Political Behavior, Public Choice, Journal of Political Science Education, Journal of Labrador and Newfoundland Studies, W.W. Norton, University of Toronto Press.