• Hi!
    I'm Ran

    From University of Toronto TRAQ Research Group

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  • A PhD student,
    a researcher,
    a webmaster,
    and a future engineer.


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Contact

35 St George St, Toronto, Ontario, M5S 1A4

About Me

Who Am I?

Hi I'm Ran Tu I am currently a PhD at University of Toronto. My research focuses on on-road traffic emission modelling, traffic-related air quality and population exposures.

After working on on-road emissions for years, now I start to investigate the impacts from emerging technologies such as connected and autonomous vehicles, electric vehicles, and electricity generation grid. You can check my research details in the following pages

NEWS: I have completed my PhD program in April!

What I Do?

Various aspects are involved in my studies, including traffic simulation modelling, on-road traffic emission estimation, air quality evaluation, and statistical analysis.

Traffic Simulation

On-road Traffic Emissions

Air Quality Modelling

Energy and Electric Vehicles

Cups of coffee
Institutes
First-Author Journal Papers
First-Author Conference Papers
My Specialty

My Skills

A lot of my studies involve intense work on big data processing and statistical analysis, and my daily work needs those analysis tools such as MATLAB, R, SQL, and Python. As a student in transportation field since undergraduate ages, traffic simulation modelling on various scopes is definitely my expertise. Of course, as a researcher working on emissions and air quality, traffic emission and air pollution dispersion modellings are also necessary for my studies.

MATLAB

95%

R

98%

Python

70%

SQL

85%

SPSS, JMP

90%

Traffic Simulation Modelling

85%

Traffic Emission modelling

98%

Air Pollution Dispersion modelling

90%
Education

Education

Institute: University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Department: Civil and Mineral Engineering

Thesis: Traffic Emission Modelling for Robust Policy Decisions in Connected and Electric Transportation

Institute: Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA, USA

Department: Civil and Environmental Engineering

Thesis: Network-wide Assessment of Eco-Cooperative Adaptive Cruise Control Systems on Freeway and Arterial Facilities

Institute: École polytechnique fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland

Department: Civil Engineering

Research Report: Fundamental Diagram Analysis Based on California Highway Data

Institute: Tongji University, Shanghai, China

Department: School of Transportation Engineering

Thesis: Character Analysis for Household Travel Survey Based on Smartphone Survey Data

Papers

Published Journal Papers

Quantifying the Impacts of Dynamic Control in Connected and Automated Vehicles on Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Urban Air Quality

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2019

Communication between vehicles and road infrastructure can enable more efficient use of the road network and hence reduce congestion in urban areas. This improvement can be enhanced by distributed control due to lighter computational load and higher reliability. Despite favourable impacts on traffic, little is known about the effects of such systems on near-road air quality. In this study, an End-To-End (E2E) dynamic distributed routing algorithm in Connected and Automated Vehicles (CAVs) was applied in downtown Toronto, to identify whether benefits to network throughput were associated with lower near-road NO2 concentration. We observe significant reductions in the emissions of Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) with increased penetration of CAVs. Nonetheless, emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) increased with higher penetration of CAVs under certain circumstances. Besides, a higher frequency and severity of NO2 hot-spots were observed under a 100% CAV scenario, while it led to a lower long-term average concentration. Impacts of the proposed system on electrical energy consumption in a full electric vehicle network were also investigated, indicating that the addition of CAVs that are electric did not contribute to high energy savings. We propose that such new transformative technologies in transportation should be designed with air pollution and public health goals.

Improving the Accuracy of Regional Emission Inventories Through a Machine-Learning Based Emission Modelling Approach and Investigating Its Transferability across Cities

Journal of Air & Waste Management Association, 2019

This study presents a novel method for integrating the output of a microscopic emission modelling approach with a regional traffic assignment model in order to achieve an accurate greenhouse gas (GHG) emission estimate for transportation in large metropolitan regions. The CLustEr-based Validated Emission Recalculation (CLEVER) method makes use of instantaneous speed data and link-based traffic characteristics in order to refine on-road GHG inventories. The CLEVER approach first classifies road links based on aggregate traffic characteristics and traffic condition clusters, then assigns representative emission factors (EFs) calibrated from microscopic emission modelling. In this paper, cluster parameters including number and feature vector were calibrated with different sets of roads within the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), while assessing the spatial transferability of the algorithm. Using calibrated cluster sets, morning peak GHG emissions in the GTA were estimated to be 2,692 tons, which is lower than the estimate generated by a traditional, average speed approach (3,254 tons). Link-level comparison between CLEVER and the average speed approach shows that GHG emissions of uncongested links were overestimated by the average speed model, while at intersections and ramps with more congested links and more interrupted traffic flow, CLEVER offers higher and more accurate GHG estimates. This indicates its ability to capture variations in traffic conditions compared to the traditional average speed approach, without the need to conduct traffic simulation.

Reducing Transportation Greenhouse Gas Emissions Through the Development of Policies Targeting High-Emitting Trips

Transportation Research Record, 2018

Traffic emission inventories have been under development for decades, often relying on data from traffic assignment models, ranging from macroscopic models generating average link speeds, to more detailed microscopic models with instantaneous speed profiles. Policy testing within such frameworks has often focused on identifying changes in total emissions, or in emissions aggregated at a zonal or street level. Emissions from specific trips or trajectories are seldom analyzed, although reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions can be achieved more efficiently when targeting high emitters. In this paper, we propose a different approach to reducing transportation GHG emissions, by catering policies to specific trips based on their emission burden. We focus on the City of Toronto downtown. Using second-by-second speed data for entire trajectories, GHGs (in CO2eq) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions were estimated. We observe that the destinations attracting the highest trip emissions tend to be in the hospital and financial districts. Trips originating and ending in the downtown area are responsible for a small share of total emissions, although they have high emission intensity. Removing trips with high total emissions and high emission intensity led to significant reductions in CO2eq and NOx emissions, whereas removing shorter trips, did not have a significant influence on total emissions nor emission intensities.

Development of a hybrid modelling approach for the generation of an urban on-road transportation emission inventory

Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2018

The development of accurate emission inventories at an urban scale is of utmost importance for cities in light of climate change commitments and the need to identify the emission reduction potential of various strategies. Emission inventories for on-road transportation are sensitive to the network models used to generate traffic activity data. For large networks (cities or regions), average-speed models have been relied upon extensively in research and practice, primarily due to their computational attractiveness. Nevertheless, these models are myopic to traffic states and driving cycles and therefore lack in accuracy. The aim of this study is to improve the quality of regional on-road emission inventories without resorting to computationally-intensive traffic microsimulation of an entire region. For this purpose, macroscopic, mesoscopic, and microscopic emission models are applied and compared, using average speed, average speed and its standard deviation, and instantaneous speeds. We also propose a hybrid approach called the CLustEr-based Validated Emission Re-calculation (CLEVER), which bridges between the microscopic and mesoscopic approaches. CLEVER defines unsupervised traffic conditions using a combination of mesoscopic traffic characteristics for selected road segments, and identifies a representative emission factor (EF) for each condition based on the microscopic driving cycle of the sample. Regional emissions can then be estimated by classifying segments in the regional network into these conditions, and applying corresponding EFs. The results of the CLEVER method are compared with the results of microsimulation and of mesoscopic approaches revealing a robust methodology that improves the emission inventory while reducing computational burden.

Conference Papers

Electric Vehicle Charging Optimization to Minimize Marginal Greenhouse Gas Emissions

the 99th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2020

Electric vehicles (EVs) are one of the most important paths for achieving low carbon transportation. Despite zero on-road greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, their upstream emissions from electricity generation cannot be ignored. Taking GHG minimization as the objective, while fulfilling regional passenger travel demand, this study designs an optimization algorithm for EV charging using travel survey data of the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA). GHG emissions from charging demand were estimated by a marginal emission factor model calibrated with historical data for electricity generation in Ontario. The results show that the optimized plan can reach around 97% GHG reduction compared to a base case where vehicles are powered by gasoline. Four other charging scenarios that do not entail optimization were also investigated. The scenario where charging is only allowed after 3am generates the lowest GHG emissions among all four scenarios but its emissions are 50% higher than the optimized scenario. Charging at the end of each trip was observed to generate the highest GHG emissions. Besides GHG emissions, the number and cost effectiveness (GHG emissions reduced per cost) of non-residential charging stations were evaluated. The optimized plan requires the lowest number of charging stations thus offering the highest cost effectiveness (around 4.6 tons of GHG emissions reduced per million US dollars invested in the charging infrastructure).

What Happens to On-Road Emissions when Travel Time on a Road Network is Improved Through End-to-End Dynamic Routing for Connected Autonomous Vehicles?

the 98th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2019

In dense downtown cores within major cities, traffic congestion is on the rise and it is associated with air quality concerns. Recently, distributed dynamic routing algorithms integrated with connected autonomous vehicles have been developed, revealing substantial improvements in terms of reductions in vehicle travel times and delay. However, there is a paucity of studies that have focused on the environmental impacts of such control schemes. In this study, an End-To-End dynamic distributed routing algorithm in a Connected Autonomous Vehicles environment (E2ECAV), developed by the Laboratory of Innovations in Transportation (LiTrans) at Ryerson University is adopted to identify whether benefits on traffic are associated with improvement on environment. Our study is set in downtown Toronto whereby scenarios with different demand levels and market penetration rates (MPRs) of E2ECAVs are investigated. The results demonstrate that compared to the base case (no CAVs), total vehicle kilometers travelled (VKT) slightly increase by at most 4% among all scenarios with CAVs while travel times are significantly reduced. Despite neglectable changes in VKT, network Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions and average segment level GHG factor (g/veh/km) and its intensity (g/km) decrease with higher MPRs—especially under high traffic demand: total GHG emissions decrease by 40% with a 100%CAV, compared to a base scenario of no CAVs. In contrast, nitrogen oxides (NOx) does not show a continuously decreasing trend with increasing MPRs. With 100%CAV in the network, average segment NOx emission factor as well as its intensity increase from the base case, under all demand levels.

Improving the Spatial Accuracy of Regional Emission Inventories and Investigating the Transferability of Emission Modeling Approaches across Different Cities

the 98th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2019

Various studies have been conducted to integrate microscopic emission models with aggregated traffic conditions in order to achieve more accurate greenhouse gas (GHG) emission estimates for transportation in large metropolitan regions. Despite the range of approaches published in the recent literature, limited number studies have conducted validation of the proposed approaches or assessed their transferability within different parts of an urban region. In this paper, we present the CLustEr-based Validated Emission Recalculation (CLEVER) method, which makes use of instantaneous speed data and aggregated traffic characteristics in order to refine the inventory for transportation GHG emissions in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA). The CLEVER approach uses unsupervised traffic condition clustering, representative EF calibration, road segment classification, and segment level EF assignment. In this paper, cluster parameters including cluster numbers and cluster centers were calibrated based on the City of Toronto network. Moreover, CLEVER was calibrated with different sets of road segment samples within the GTA, demonstrating the spatial transferability of the CLEVER algorithm. Using calibrated cluster sets, morning peak GHG emissions in the GTA were estimated as 2,692 tons, which is lower than the estimate generated by a traditional, average-speed approach (3,245 tons). CLEVER generally estimated lower results than the average-speed model on all roads, while at intersections where more traffic condition uncertainties exist, emissions estimated by CLEVER were higher, indicating its ability to capture the variability of traffic conditions compared to a traditional average-speed approach.

Conference Papers Prior to 2018

Referred Papers

Multi-Objective Eco-Routing for Dynamic Control of Connected and Automated Vehicles (Djavadian Shadi, Ran Tu, et al.) Under review of Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2020

Capturing uncertainty in emission estimates related to vehicle electrification and implications for metropolitan greenhouse gas emission inventories (Wang An, Ran Tu, et al.) Applied Energy, 2020

Comparing emission rates derived from a model with a plume-based approach and quantifying the contribution of vehicle classes to on-road emissions and air quality (Xu Junshi, Jonathan Wang, Nathan Hilker, Masoud Fallah-Shorshani, Marc Saleh, Ran Tu, et al.) Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 2018

Contrasting the direct use of data from traffic radars and video-cameras with traffic simulation in the estimation of road emissions and PM hotspot analysis (Xu Junshi, Nathan Hilker, Matheus Turchet, Mohamad-Kenan Al-Rijleh, Ran Tu, An Wang, Masoud Fallahshorshani, Greg Evans, and Marianne Hatzopoulou) Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2018

Capturing the Uncertainties in Regional Emission Estimates Related to Vehicle Electrification Can Improve the Robustness of Decision-making (Wang An, Ran Tu, Yijun (Jessie) Gai, I. Daniel Posen, Marianne Hatzopoulou) the 98th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2019

Towards a Canadian Version of the MOVES Model: Capturing Driving Behaviours in Greater Toronto and Comparison against US Defaultss (Xu Junshi, Marc Saleh, An Wang, Ran Tu, Marianne Hatzopoulou the 98th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2019

Quantifying the Contribution of Diesel Vehicles to Traffic Emissions Along an Urban Corridor: Implications for Cleaner Public Transit (Xu Junshi, Ran Tu, An Wang, Laura Minet, Christos Stogios, Marc Saleh, Nathan Hilker, Jonathan Wang, Greg Evans the 97th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2018

Determining the Effects of Automated Vehicle Driving Behavior on Vehicle Emissions and Performance of an Urban Corridor(Stogios Christos, Marc Saleh, Arman Ganji, Ran Tu, Junshi Xu, Matthew Roorda, Marianne Hatzopoulou the 97th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2018

Evaluation of MOVES Emission Factors Against Data from On-Road Measurements in a Large Canadian City(Xu Junshi, Jonathan Wang, Nathan Hilker, Masoud Fallah Shorshani, Ran Tu, An Wang, Laura Minet, Christos Stogios, Greg Evans, Marianne Hatzopoulou the 97th Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, 2018